The 2013 NFL Draft has concluded, and we would like to offer our thoughts on the ability of conferences and schools to turn high school talent into NFL Draft Picks. We conclude our team-level discussion with an analysis of the Big East.
To reiterate from our previous post, this is only an analysis of the 2013 NFL Draft. We are examining how many picks were produced by each school, relative to their recruiting classes over the relevant corresponding period for the 2013 Draft. As with any analysis based on essentially a single data point it’s important to remember that these results are more anecdotal than conclusive. That said, the 2013 draft does produce results that are largely consistent with our multiyear statistical study of recruit conversion.
Winners: Connecticut and Rutgers are not only the big winners of the NFL Draft in the Big East, they were across the country two of the best schools for converting talent into 2013 NFL picks. UConn produced five draft picks using talent that on average ranked outside of the top 75 during the relevant recruiting period. Rutgers had seven picks using talent that averaged just inside the top 50! This could mean that the coaching staffs at Rutgers and UConn did a great job developing players and/or Edsall and Schiano had an eye for finding diamonds in the rough.
Middle of the Pack: In other conferences, Syracuse and USF could have been in the top quartile and thus “Winners”, because both schools produced three draft picks using talent on average outside the top 45.
Losers: Pittsburgh, Louisville and Temple all had no draft picks in the 2013 NFL draft. Pittsburgh is the most disappointing of these schools, since they averaged talent inside the top 40 during the relevant recruiting period.
By Mike Lewis & Manish Tripathi, Emory University 2013
Methodology for the study explained here.