It’s amazing what a difference a year (or ten months) can make. Last November, Johnny Manziel was a redshirt freshman leading a two-touchdown underdog team into the hostile environment of Bryant-Denny Stadium. This weekend, the Heisman-Trophy winning, John Hancock-machine leads the sixth-ranked Aggies into a matchup with Alabama that is undoubtedly one of the most anticipated games of the college football season. ESPN College GameDay will be in College Station, even though the game is on CBS.
We decided to use Twitter to study (1) how much more chatter is there about the game this year versus last year and (2) how is the chatter different between the two campuses? Our key findings: (1) The pre-game chatter has increased over 600% in College Station and 350% in Tuscaloosa as compared to last year and (2) The level of pre-game chatter was over 3oo% greater in College Station versus Tuscaloosa in 2012 and over 400% greater in 2013.
The methodology for our study is quite straightforward. As in our Michigan-Notre Dame “rivalry” study, we used Twitter data from Topsy Pro Analytics. We essentially collected all of the tweets originating from College Station, TX and Tuscaloosa, AL in the Sunday-Wednesday period before the game in 2012 and before the upcoming game. In the pool of tweets from College Station, we counted how many of them mentioned a term that was related to Alabama (e.g. “Alabama”, “Bama”, “Tide”, and “Saban”). We divided this number of tweets by the total number of tweets collected from College Station. We performed this analysis separately for 2012 and 2013. This gave us the Twitter Share of Voice for the match-up in 2012 and 2013 in College Station. We did the exact same thing for the pool of tweets from Tuscaloosa in 2012 and 2013, but we looked for Texas A&M related terms (e.g. “Aggies”, “TAMU”, “Manziel”, and “Johnny Football”). We believe that the Twitter Share of Voice metric is a good proxy for the level of game related chatter in the two markets.
The results indicate that while both communities seem to care a lot more about the game this year than they did last year, the Texas A&M community cares a lot more about the match-up than the people in Tuscaloosa. We look forward to performing a similar analysis when Alabama plays Auburn later this year.
Mike Lewis & Manish Tripathi, Emory University, 2013.