Policy Analysis Notes

These are detailed notes for my Policy Analysis class, which covers how to perform CBO-type predictions of the impact of policy changes.

Chapter 1.TheFieldofPolicyAnalysis

What is the role of policy analysis in government and the private sector. Predicting the impact  of adding calorie labels to menus.

Chapter 2.HowToThinkLikeAPolicyAnalyst

How to develop an analysis to predict the impact of electric charging stations.

Chapter 3.MakingAssumptions

The different types of assumptions (e.g., behavioral, biologic, counting) assumptions that go into policy analysis.

Chapter4.Inference

How to make good assumptions regarding causal effects. Interpreting odds ratios, risk ratios, and marginal effects.

Chapter5.WritingaPolicyAnalysis

Clear communication. (Edits in progress.)

Chapter6.TablesGraphs

How to present results clearly in tables and graphs.

Chapter7.COVID

Various approaches taken to predict the impact of lockdowns and other policies on the trajectory of COVID.

Chapter8.Sensitivity

Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

Chapter9.MeasuringCosts

How to develop assumptions regarding the cost of physician visits, inpatient visits, and drugs. The dead weight loss of taxation.

Chapter10.Discounting

The rational for discounting in policy analysis.

Chapter11.Inflation

How to adjust cost assumptions for inflation. Difference price indices and the difficulty of measuring price changes.

Chapter12.Economics

Using economic theory to predict the impact of policies.

Chapter13.CostBenefit

Regulatory impact analysis. The basis of assumptions regarding the value of a statistical life year. Contingent valuation.

Chapter14.Insurance

How do modelers predict the impact of health reform proposals?

Chapter15.ProductivityCosts

The meaning and measurement of productivity costs.

Chapter16.Checklist